moderating the panel is scott rasmussen. he is a frequent guest on cable tv and a contributor to numerous prints and online publications. he recently debuted a nationally syndicated television show, "what america thinks." with that, i will turn it over. >> this is a great time. less than two weeks to go until the election, we are already in the election month. voters in lots of other states are casting ballots as well and it has changed everything about the election process. we are at the point where everyone is guessing who's going to win. from what i see in the numbers everyone who tells you that they know is lying to you or deluding themselves. the race is close and it has been close. i want to take it will but of context. in the last few weeks the media stories have been about how mitt romney had a great first debate and turn the entire campaign around and is now in some quarters considered a slight favorite in this race. the reality is that in the morning of the first debate, barack obama was up 49% to 47% in our daily